
Watch Before Tomorrow TESLA Q3 Delivery Day. Good Deliveries $500+. Bad and We Drop to $400.
- by NextBigFuture
- Oct 02, 2025
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Tesla’ surged to $460 amid high expectations for tomorrow’s Q3 delivery numbers.
Brian and Randy give their prediction of Tesla Q3 car deliveries and quarterly energy production.
UPDATE Oct 2: Actual deliveries 497k.
Brian predicted 495k-595k.
495,000–505,000 vehicle deliveries. Adjusted from prior quarter plus adjustments for inventory drawdown (from Q2’s +26,000 excess). Europe (+13,000 to ~65,000), US growth (from 150,000 to 200,000, driven by EV market strength as seen by GM/Ford and expiring $7500 credit), and China (240,000 up from first two months of quarter 150,000 + 90k from September push). For energy storage: A bold 15 GWh, citing potential surges in production.
There was a 50k inventory drawdown with 447K.
A really strong delivery beat could trigger EPS upgrades and further stock price gains.
Disappointing delivery numbers could result in profit taking and a drop in the stock price.
They dismiss a rumored Model Q code leak as unreliable and speculate on its launch next week to fill factory capacity in Europe (Berlin) and China.
What could a stripped-down Model Y save in costs?
FSD v14 rollout is expected by week’s end (Friday/Saturday) for early testers.
Brian Wang
Brian Wang is a Futurist Thought Leader and a popular Science blogger with 1 million readers per month. His blog Nextbigfuture.com is ranked #1 Science News Blog. It covers many disruptive technology and trends including Space, Robotics, Artificial Intelligence, Medicine, Anti-aging Biotechnology, and Nanotechnology.
Known for identifying cutting edge technologies, he is currently a Co-Founder of a startup and fundraiser for high potential early-stage companies. He is the Head of Research for Allocations for deep technology investments and an Angel Investor at Space Angels.
A frequent speaker at corporations, he has been a TEDx speaker, a Singularity University speaker and guest at numerous interviews for radio and podcasts. He is open to public speaking and advising engagements.
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