Elon Musk says he’s postponing his Mars project to focus on establishing a colony on the Moon, and the scepticism was visible from space – 17 ‘Sure, Jan’ responses
- by thepoke
- Feb 09, 2026
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Elon Musk – so-called genius – has made his name based on predctions of what he can achieve through his companies, SpaceX and Tesla.
Here are some of those predictions.
2011 – He’d have a man on Mars within 10 years.
2016 – Teslas will be full autonomous by 2017.
2017 – The second-generation Tesla Roadster will be in production soon.
2017 – There will be a million self-driving Tesla Robotaxis by 2020.
2025 – Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) breakthrough before the end of the year.
2025 – 10,000 humanoid robots equipped with AGI will be out in the world doing tasks for people by the end of the year.
You’ll have noticed that his success rate with all that remains at zero, yet this year has already seen him predict that his Optimus robots will be better surgeons than any human within three years, and he has advised people not to bother going to medical school.
Sure, Jan.
At the weekend, he announced his plan to ‘temporarily’ shelve the Mars mission for a moonshot – literally.
If anyone believes, firstly, that Musk is driven by the desire to secure the future of civilisation, and secondly, that he will be in any position to establish a colony on the Moon in the next ten years, or in his own lifetime – well, we have 10,000 robot butlers to sell them.
Elon Musk’s SpaceX is delaying Mars plans to focus on an uncrewed Moon landing by March 2027
“We're gonna go to the Moon, we're gonna have a base on the Moon, we're gonna send people to Mars and make life multiplanetary”pic.twitter.com/urwQdRMpbs
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