🔒 Elon Musk vs. Jeff Bezos: The modern space race heats up
- by Bloomberg Businessweek on MSN.com
- May 02, 2024
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In a pivotal moment five years ago, Jeff Bezos unveiled Blue Moon, a spacecraft destined for the moon’s surface. However, it was a prop, revealing Blue Origin’s yet-to-be-realized lunar aspirations. Contrastingly, Elon Musk’s SpaceX swiftly progressed, with successful tests of the Starship rocket prototype. The modern space race mirrors the past, with Bezos’ Blue Origin and Musk’s SpaceX vying for lunar dominance. Their strategies differ, but only time will tell the victor.
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By Loren Grush
Five years ago, Jeff Bezos stood on a darkened stage in Washington, DC, a large black curtain covering a platform behind him. Clad in a gray suit and black shirt, he expounded the virtues of exploring the moon to a crowd of journalists and space enthusiasts. “It’s nearby. It’s three days away,” Bezos said. “You can go to the moon just about anytime you want.” ___STEADY_PAYWALL___
Moments later Bezos raised his hand, and the curtain swept away to unveil a massive spacecraft called Blue Moon. It was a lunar lander that his aerospace company had been working on for three years, he said, designed to take cargo—and eventually people—to the moon’s surface.
What he didn’t mention is that the lander was a prop constructed for the event. Blue Origin had—and still has—years to go before it can deliver a functioning vehicle.
A more visceral moment in the new space race happened two-and-a-half months later and 1,700 miles away. Elon Musk was watching on live monitors as a steel mini rocket, shaped like a grain solo, fired up its engine in the mud flats of southern Texas. Space Exploration Technologies Corp.’s prototype flew up into the air for a few brief moments and then lowered itself back down again, standing upright. This was one of the first so-called hop tests for what would become SpaceX’s forthcoming Starship rocket, meant to demonstrate the technique a full-size spacecraft would use someday to land on other worlds—including the moon.
It’s been more than a half-century since a human being left a footprint in lunar dust. Today’s space race looks in some ways like that of the 1960s; instead of the US vs. the Soviet Union, it’s Bezos’ Blue Origin vs. Musk’s SpaceX. The companies are dueling to put astronauts back on the moon’s surface, funded largely by the US government. Read more: 🔒 Elon Musk becomes first person ever to lose $200 billion
A major complicating factor is an unproven refueling system that requires launching multiple Starships. Escaping Earth’s gravity requires a lot of energy, and the fuel cost increases for heavier objects. A rocket the size of Starship can’t make it to the moon and back on a single tank filled up on Earth. SpaceX’s system calls for the launch of one Starship into Earth’s orbit, where it will park and serve as a fueling depot. Then SpaceX will launch about 10 additional Starships filled with methane and oxygen that will dock with the depot to refill its reserves. Once the depot is fully topped off, yet another Starship will launch from Earth, dock with the depot, refuel and then head to the moon.
Blue Origin mocked this plan a few years ago with an infographic arguing that the multi-rocket refueling architecture was too complicated to be reliable. Blue Origin has since quietly changed course and adopted a system similar to SpaceX’s for its moon missions, says Chojnacki. “They’ve come to similar architecture decisions on the number of launches and fills that they need,” he says. Blue Origin’s technique will require anywhere from four to eight rocket mules to refuel a spacecraft in low-Earth orbit, says Lisa Watson-Morgan, manager of NASA’s human landing system program. Blue Origin calls its refueling station a “space tug” because after topping off the lander orbiting Earth, the tug will follow the lander into the moon’s orbit, ready to refuel it for its trip to the lunar surface. The tug can then travel back and forth between each orbit to retrieve more hydrogen fuel.
As early as next year, Blue Origin plans to send to the moon a cargo version of its lander that doesn’t require a tug. If this succeeds, Bezos’ company could conceivably beat Musk’s, though Blue Origin maintains a less ambitious timeline to send people there by 2029.
Schedules are unpredictable in aerospace, though. Blue Origin’s lunar lander is designed to launch on top of its New Glenn rocket, which was supposed to first lift off in 2020 but has yet to do so. New Glenn is currently due to launch in September, if all goes well. “Blue Origin needs to be much faster,” Bezos said on the Lex Fridman Podcast in December, “and it’s one of the reasons that I left my role as the CEO of Amazon a couple of years ago.”
Musk, meanwhile, remains CEO of a bunch of companies, including SpaceX, which continues to lead the aerospace industry. During its most recent Starship test flight in March, SpaceX transferred propellants from one tank to another, a small but meaningful step. A NASA advisory committee said on April 26 that while SpaceX was still analyzing the results, the experiment “was successful by all accounts.”
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